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The Dynamics of Crises and the Equity Premium
(2015-05-18)
It is a major challenge for asset pricing models to generate a high equity premium and a low risk-free rate while imposing realistic consumption dynamics. To address this issue, our paper proposes a novel pricing channel: ...
Trust in the Monetary Authority
(2013-07-01)
Trust in policy makers fluctuates significantly over the cycle and affects the transmission mechanism. Despite this it is absent from the literature. We build a monetary model embedding trust cycles; the latter emerge as ...
Stochastic Differential Utility as the Continuous-Time Limit of Recursive Utility
(2013-05-10)
We establish a convergence theorem that shows that discrete-time recursive utility, as developed by Kreps and Porteus (1978), converges to stochastic differential utility, as introduced by Duffie and Epstein (1992), in the ...
International Endogenous Growth, Macro Anomalies, and Asset Prices
(2016-07-20)
"This paper studies a two-country production economy with complete and frictionless financial markets and international trade in which competition in R&D leads to endogenous new firm creation and economic growth. Current ...
Saving Europe?: The Unpleasant Arithmetic of Fiscal Austerity in Integrated Economies
(2014-12-12)
Europe’s debt crisis casts doubt on the effectiveness of fiscal austerity in highly-integrated economies. Closed-economy models overestimate its effectiveness, because they underestimate tax-base elasticities and ignore ...
Optimal Carbon Abatement in a Stochastic Equilibrium Model with Climate Change
(2018-09-24)
This paper studies a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model involving climate change. Our framework allows for feedback effects on the temperature dynamics. We are able to match estimates of future temperature ...
The Intended and Unintended Consequences of Financial-Market Regulations: A General Equilibrium Analysis
(2016-01-25)
In a production economy with trade in financial markets motivated by the desire to share labor-income risk and to speculate, we show that speculation increases volatility of asset returns and investment growth, increases ...
Investment-Specific Shocks, Business Cycles, and Asset Prices
(2016-03-14)
We introduce long-run investment productivity risk in a two-sector production economy to explain the joint behavior of macroeconomic quantities and asset prices. Long-run productivity risk in both sectors, for which we ...
Secular Stagnation? Growth, Asset Returns and Welfare in the Next Decades: First Results
(2016-09-08)
Ongoing demographic change will lead to a relative scarcity of raw labor to the effect that output growth will be decreasing in the next decades, a secular stagnation. As physical capital will be relatively abundant, this ...
Technology Trade with Asymmetric Tax Regimes and Heterogeneous Labor Markets: Implications for Macro Quantities and Asset Prices
(2017-10-05)
The international diffusion of technology plays a key role in stimulating global growth and explaining co-movements of international equity returns. Existing empirical evidence suggests that countries are heterogeneous in ...